Oscars Analysis 2010: Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress

And now, we get to the good stuff.

Of course, you could argue that the supporting actor/actress categories are, in a weird way, overrated by the moviegoing public. That’s partly because the awards often pay homage to the quality of the role more so than the actual performance, meaning they’re saluting the screenwriter rather than the actor. There’s also a visibility issue: Everyone notices actors, but fewer viewers appreciate the labors of cinematographers, art directors, composers, and other craftsmen whose contributions are no less essential to the overall quality of a film. And because so many performers these days are so damn talented, supporting actors typically sport a low VORP (value over replacement player) – swap one out for another, and it’s unlikely your movie will suffer terribly as a result.

(For the record, I briefly addressed VORP and its unlimited allegorical potential here. But I’m going to repeat what I said previously: Never, ever use VORP as a metric for evaluating girlfriends. Not unless you want to become the most reviled misanthrope this side of Louis Farrakhan.)

But that last point is exactly why I love the supporting categories. Hollywood is absolutely loaded with high-caliber actors right now. As far as movies go overall, I only find myself blown away 2-3 times per year, but I’m astounded by the quality of a particular performance with far greater frequency. The movies may be stagnating – that’s a debate for another day – but the actors keep getting better, and there’s no harm in paying homage to that.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

NOMINEES
Christian Bale – The Fighter
John Hawkes – Winter’s Bone
Jeremy Renner – The Town
Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech Read More

Oscars Analysis 2010: The big techies

The following four categories can be considered “technical” awards only in the purist sense of the word. True, each field in this quartet involves a highly specific area of filmmaking and thus requires the wielding of precise, technological skill. But to label these disciplines “technical” is to diminish their significance, as it is in these areas where movies can truly distinguish themselves as extraordinary. Moreover, a film’s success (or failure) in any of these categories can dramatically affect even casual viewers’ opinions, be it consciously or otherwise.

Put more bluntly, these categories matter. Just keep that in mind the next time you hear some Oscar nut raving about Roger Deakins’ unlucky streak and think I’m he’s out of his mind.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

NOMINEES
Black Swan – Matthew Libatique
Inception – Wally Pfister
The King’s Speech – Danny Cohen
The Social Network – Jeff Cronenweth
True Grit – Roger Deakins Read More

Oscars Analysis 2010: Five totally unrelated categories

I’m lumping the following categories for one reason: I don’t particularly care about them. I don’t mean to suggest that they’re unimportant. I would never impugn the invaluable contributions of, say, a film’s costume designer, and besides, as a rabid Oscar fan, I think every category is important. But I lack the motivation to delve into these categories with the Manifesto’s typical zeal, and rather than spreading the analysis over a series of separate posts, I figured I’d just blow through them all at once. As Ron Livingston said in Office Space, “It’s not that I’m lazy – it’s that I just don’t care”. Indeed.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

NOMINEES
Alice in Wonderland
I Am Love
The King’s Speech
The Tempest
True Grit Read More

Oscars Analysis 2010: Music and Sound Categories

For our first batch of categories for this year’s Oscars, we’re taking a look at the music and sound branches. So I suppose you could call this the Aural Edition. Whatever works.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

NOMINEES
Country Strong – “Coming Home” (Tom Douglas, Hillary Lindsey, Troy Verges)
127 Hours – “If I Rise” (A.R. Rahman, Rollo Armstrong, Dido)
Tangled – “I See the Light” (Alan Menken, Glenn Slater)
Toy Story 3 – “We Belong Together” (Randy Newman) Read More

Oscars Analysis 2010: Nomination Prediction Results

When predicting this year’s Oscar nominations, I suggested that it was highly unlikely that I would do as well as I did last year, when I correctly pegged 40 of the 45 main nominations. And – in what amounts to a twist here at the Manifesto – I was right. I did not do as well as I did last year.

I did better.

Forgive me, but I need to gloat for a bit. I mean, come on, how else am I supposed to celebrate a performance that will (a) earn me no money, (b) generate no job opportunities, and (c) fail to even incrementally increase my odds of getting laid? You don’t have to tell me that my primary passion in life – obsessively following the Oscars – is ultimately meaningless. I know. But if I had a reason for doing this, it wouldn’t be a passion. (There’s an infinitesimal percentage of the population to whom that last sentence makes sense. We’re all unemployed and single.)

Anyway, the hell with the meaning of this exercise. I rocked. I correctly forecast 41 of 45 nominations this year. That comes out to 91%, which is higher than Steve Nash’s career free-throw percentage. I will forever be thoroughly, disproportionately proud of myself as a result. Read More