Here we go. Having blitzed past some technical categories large and small, we now get to the good stuff. This morning, we’re looking at Best Supporting Actor and Actress; later today, we’ll turn to the screenplays.
Let’s start with the boring supporting race first.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
NOMINEES Brendan Gleeson—The Banshees of Inisherin Brian Tyree Henry—Causeway Judd Hirsch—The Fabelmans Barry Keoghan—The Banshees of Inisherin Ke Huy Quan—Everything Everywhere All at Once Read More
Our weeklong analysis of the Oscars marches on. Yesterday, we looked at seven below-the-line categories; today, we’re looking at five more technical categories—but, like, the cool ones. (I promise, the sexy stuff is coming soon.) Let’s get to it.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
NOMINEES All Quiet on the Western Front—James Friend Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths—Darius Khondji Elvis—Mandy Walker Empire of Light—Roger Deakins Tár – Florian Hoffmeister
WILL WIN Some of the Academy’s omissions in this category are downright flummoxing. But it’s notable that three of the five nominees exhibit more subtle technique than usual, especially when voters in recent years have favored boisterous showmanship. That means this is likely a race between the two more aggressive contenders: All Quiet on the Western Front and Elvis. The latter is certainly flashier, but the former is more intense and disturbing with its grotesque war imagery. I’ll go with All Quiet. Read More
It’s March 2023, so it must be time to wrap up our coverage of 2022. The Oscars are on Sunday, so per annual tradition, we’ll be spending this week analyzing all of the feature categories. (Sorry, short subjects, maybe next year.) Today, we’re looking at seven different fields that are, shall we say, low-profile.
Get your pools ready! (Do people do Oscar pools?)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
NOMINEES Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio Marcel the Shell with Shoes On Puss in Boots: The Last Wish The Sea Beast Turning Red
WILL WIN The general rule here is just to pick Pixar. But for whatever reason (perhaps its lack of a theatrical release?), Turning Red never developed the sort of momentum that most of the studio’s releases easily accumulate. In fact, only two of these movies received a meaningful run in theaters, and only Puss in Boots: The Last Wish actually generated a significant sum of money. That might have meant something a few years ago, but the stigma which once attached to streaming services has slowly eroded. Instead, the likely winner is Pinocchio, which somehow shrugged off the weirdness of being the second such adaptation of the year—three months before it aired on Netflix, Robert Zemeckis’ version landed on Disney+ with a thud—and became a critical smash thanks to its stop-motion artistry. Read More
Hey, the Oscars just announced their nominations for the 95th Academy Awards! They were pretty good, except for the ones that were terrible. If you’re a member of the unfortunate class of cinephile who ritualistically follows such matters, you have by now performed the standard series of compulsory reactions: celebrating the precious few overlaps between your own ballot and the Academy’s, bemoaning the collective’s egregious failings of judgment (have I gotten over The LEGO Movie missing in Best Animated Feature in 2014? Reader, I have not), and frantically updating your mental list of favorites to win Best Picture.
In other words, this year was business as usual: a few welcome inclusions, several more head-scratching omissions, and the typical plethora of “Ah well that was inevitable” selections. But for those of you with social lives who are less enmeshed in Academy arcana, let’s quickly run the various categories and how they matched (or didn’t) with my own predictions: Read More
The nominations for this year’s Academy Awards are set to be announced on Tuesday morning, an annual tradition that’s invariably met with a combination of fanatical nitpicking and performative indifference. It is fashionable, almost mandatory, for critics to express their disdain toward Hollywood’s annual self-congratulatory gala, and for good reason: The Oscars don’t matter. Or at least, they can’t change your attitudes about the specific movies you loved, hated, and argued about. They’re a collective approximation of individual tastes, which inherently makes them a fool’s errand.
And yet, the only thing worse than caring about the Oscars is ignoring them. This isn’t because the Academy somehow confers prestige upon their chosen selections—quite the opposite, as winning an Oscar often carries with it a vaguely negative connotation of middlebrow safeness—or even because its picks can influence the types of movies that awards-hungry studios are more (or less) likely to green-light in the future. It’s because they preserve in amber the industry’s extant preferences and expectations. It is always illuminating to look back and remember the Academy’s choices, whether you do so with fondness (“Hey, remember when The Departed won Best Picture?!”) or exasperation (“Ugh, remember when Green Book won Best Picture?”). Read More
