Oscars 2022: Best Picture and Best Director

Jeremy BeckOscars
Felix Kammerer in All Quiet on the Western Front; Michelle Yeoh in Everything Everywhere All at Once

The two biggest awards at this year’s Oscars feel somewhat anticlimactic—partly because their outcome isn’t exactly suspenseful, and partly because it’s always more fun for me to present my personal choices in the acting categories. Still, the Academy has proved capable of delivering massive surprises at the end of the night, so you can never rule out fireworks. Let’s get to it.

BEST DIRECTOR

NOMINEES
Todd Field—Tár
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert—Everything Everywhere All at Once
Martin McDonagh—The Banshees of Inisherin
Ruben Östlund—Triangle of Sadness
Steven Spielberg—The Fabelmans Read More

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Oscars 2022: The Lead Actors

Jeremy BeckOscars
Cate Blanchett in Tár; Brendan Fraser in The Whale

This is the big one. Sure, we’ll get to Best Picture tomorrow, but my favorite Oscar tradition is analyzing the acting categories—not because I care about who wins, but because I cherish (and agonize over) the process of creating my own ballots. Just remember that whenever you hear the word “snub” in Oscar discourse, it’s almost always misused; there are only five slots in each category, and with so many talented actors working today, it’s extremely difficult to narrow each field to a final quintet.

Such is my labor. Let’s get to work. (And if you missed our takes on the supporting races, you can find those here.)

BEST ACTOR

NOMINEES
Austin Butler—Elvis
Colin Farrell—The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser—The Whale
Paul Mescal—Aftersun
Bill Nighy—Living Read More

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Oscars 2022: The Screenplays

Jeremy BeckOscars
Colin Farrell in The Banshees of Inisherin; Rooney Mara in Women Talking

Our Oscars analysis marches on! Earlier today, we looked at the supporting actors; before that, we analyzed the techies. Now, it’s time to consider the writers.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

NOMINEES
The Banshees of Inisherin—Martin McDonagh
Everything Everywhere All at Once—Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans—Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner
Tár—Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness—Ruben Östlund

WILL WIN
So just how many Oscars is Everything Everywhere All at Once going to win? It received 11 nominations (two in one category), but realistic estimates can range anywhere from 3 to 8. (I personally have it pegged for six.) The breadth of its reach will likely determine this category, where it’s engaged (at least in my eyes) in a head-to-head competition against The Banshees of Inisherin. In a vacuum, I’d lean slightly toward Banshees, simply because it’s the more writerly conceit. But Everything Everywhere’s restless imagination might also catch voters’ attention, and besides, this race isn’t taking place in a vacuum; both of these movies received plenty of nominations, but only one is a juggernaut. I’m picking Everything Everywhere. Read More

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Oscars 2022: The Supporting Actors

Jeremy BeckOscars
Angela Bassett in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; Ke Huy Quan in Everything Everywhere All at Once

Here we go. Having blitzed past some technical categories large and small, we now get to the good stuff. This morning, we’re looking at Best Supporting Actor and Actress; later today, we’ll turn to the screenplays.

Let’s start with the boring supporting race first.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

NOMINEES
Brendan Gleeson—The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry—Causeway
Judd Hirsch—The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan—The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan—Everything Everywhere All at Once Read More

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Oscars 2022: The Big Techies

Jeremy BeckOscars
A scene from Avatar: The Way of Water

Our weeklong analysis of the Oscars marches on. Yesterday, we looked at seven below-the-line categories; today, we’re looking at five more technical categories—but, like, the cool ones. (I promise, the sexy stuff is coming soon.) Let’s get to it.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

NOMINEES
All Quiet on the Western Front—James Friend
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths—Darius Khondji
Elvis—Mandy Walker
Empire of Light—Roger Deakins
Tár – Florian Hoffmeister

WILL WIN
Some of the Academy’s omissions in this category are downright flummoxing. But it’s notable that three of the five nominees exhibit more subtle technique than usual, especially when voters in recent years have favored boisterous showmanship. That means this is likely a race between the two more aggressive contenders: All Quiet on the Western Front and Elvis. The latter is certainly flashier, but the former is more intense and disturbing with its grotesque war imagery. I’ll go with All Quiet. Read More

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