Oscars 2018: Prediction Roundup

We’ve spent the past six posts analyzing the 21 feature awards to be handed out at this year’s Oscars. Now, in a selfless exercise of service journalism, this post synthesizes all of our predictions and preferences in one handy, annotated location. (Sorry, I ignore the shorts.)

Best Actor
Will win: Rami Malek—Bohemian Rhapsody (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Viggo Mortensen—Green Book
Worst omission: Jonathan Pryce—The Wife

Best Actress
Will win: Glenn Close—The Wife (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Olivia Colman—The Favourite
Worst omission: Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie—Leave No Trace

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: BlacKkKlansman—Spike Lee et al. (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: If Beale Street Could Talk—Barry Jenkins
Worst omission: On Chesil Beach—Ian McEwan

Best Animated Feature
Will win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Incredibles 2

Best Cinematography
Will win: Roma—Alfonso Cuarón (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Roma—Alfonso Cuarón
Worst omission: Bad Times at the El Royale—Seamus McGarvey

Best Costume Design
Will win: The Favourite (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: The Favourite
Worst omission: Crazy Rich Asians

Best Director
Will win: Alfonso Cuarón—Roma (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Alfonso Cuarón—Roma
Worst omission: Ari Aster—Hereditary

Best Documentary Feature
Will win: Free Solo (confidence: 4/5)

Best Film Editing
Will win: Vice—Hank Corwin (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: The Favourite—Yorgos Mavropsaridis
Worst omission: Cold War—Jaroslaw Kaminski

Best Foreign Language Film
Will win: Roma (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Cold War
Worst omission: Revenge

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: Vice (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Mary Queen of Scots
Worst omission: The Favourite

Best Original Score
Will win: Black Panther—Ludwig Göransson (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: If Beale Street Could Talk—Nicholas Britell
Worst omission: Colette—Thomas Adès

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: The Favourite—Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: The Favourite—Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
Worst omission: Eighth Grade—Bo Burnham

Best Original Song
Will win: A Star is Born—“Shallow” (Lady Gaga et al.) (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: A Star is Born—“Shallow” (Lady Gaga et al.)

Best Picture
Will win: Roma (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: The Favourite
Worst omission: Thoroughbreds

Best Production Design
Will win: Black Panther (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Black Panther
Worst omission: Ready Player One

Best Sound Editing
Will win: First Man (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: A Quiet Place

Best Sound Mixing
Will win: A Star Is Born (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: First Man

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Mahershala Ali—Green Book (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Richard E. Grant—Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Worst omission: Michael B. Jordan—Black Panther

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Regina King—If Beale Street Could Talk (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Rachel Weisz—The Favourite
Worst omission: Millicent Simmonds—A Quiet Place

Best Visual Effects
Will win: Avengers: Infinity War (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Ready Player One
Worst omission: Annihilation