Oscars Prediction Roundup

Over the past week, we’ve scoured the 20 different feature categories in competition at the 96th Academy Awards. Here, you can find our predictions (and preferences) for all of them, alphabetized by category. (To access the detailed piece discussing any particular category, click on the header link.)

Best Actor
Will win: Cillian Murphy—Oppenheimer (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Paul Giamatti—The Holdovers
Worst omission: Joaquin Phoenix—Beau Is Afraid

Best Actress
Will win: Lily Gladstone—Killers of the Flower Moon (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Emma Stone—Poor Things
Worst omission: Park Ji-min—Return to Seoul Read More

Here lies an omnibus post for all of our predictions at this year’s Oscars. By all means, use this as a guide for your own polls, or as a convenient way to mock me for all of my terrible picks.

Best Actor
Will win: Brendan Fraser—The Whale (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Colin Farrell—The Banshees of Inisherin
Worst omission: Jonathan Majors—Devotion Read More

Over the past week, MovieManifesto has analyzed all 20 feature categories (sorry, short subjects, no offense intended) at this year’s Oscars. In the interest of service journalism, we’re compiling all of our predictions and preferences into this omnibus post. Click on the links to access our write-up for a particular category.

Best Actor
Will win: Will Smith—King Richard (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Benedict Cumberbatch—The Power of the Dog
Worst omission: Simon Rex—Red Rocket

Best Actress
Will win: Jessica Chastain—The Eyes of Tammy Faye (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Olivia Colman—The Lost Daughter
Worst omission: Rebecca Hall—The Night House Read More

At long, long last, the 93rd Academy Awards are finally airing tonight. We’ve spent the past week running through our predictions and preferences in the 20 feature categories (sorry, I skipped the short subjects). For your handy convenience, here’s an omnibus post detailing all of our predictions, with links to more detailed analyses.

Curiously enough, even with Nomadland being the clear Best Picture frontrunner, I’m only predicting it to win three total Oscars; that’s the same number I’m predicting for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, which didn’t even score a Best Picture nomination. Does this mean anything? Probably not, but we’ll see what happens!

Best Actor
Will win: Chadwick Boseman—Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Chadwick Boseman—Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Worst omission: Hugh Jackman—Bad Education Read More

Before we concatenate all of our Oscar predictions: Did you ever want to listen to me talk about movies? Now you can! The SportsAlcohol team did a brief podcast on this year’s Oscars. We discuss which Best Picture nominee is most likely to be reviled in future years if it wins, why “brutally honest” anonymous ballots are bullshit, and how on earth The Two Popes scored three major nominations. It’s a fun chat. (We also did a much longer podcast on the Best Movies of 2019. Enjoy!)

With that out of the way, here are all of our predictions in a single omnibus post, with links to our more detailed write-ups. Oddly enough, I’ve discovered that the only race I’m emotionally invested in is Best Adapted Screenplay. Go Greta go! Read More