Oscars 2022: Prediction Roundup

Here lies an omnibus post for all of our predictions at this year’s Oscars. By all means, use this as a guide for your own polls, or as a convenient way to mock me for all of my terrible picks.

Best Actor
Will win: Brendan Fraser—The Whale (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Colin Farrell—The Banshees of Inisherin
Worst omission: Jonathan Majors—Devotion

Best Actress
Will win: Michelle Yeoh—Everything Everywhere All at Once (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Cate Blanchett—Tár
Worst omission: Aubrey Plaza—Emily the Criminal

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Women Talking—Sarah Polley (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Glass Onion—Rian Johnson
Worst omission: Happening—Marcia Romano and Audrey Diwan

Best Animated Feature
Will win: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Turning Red

Best Cinematography
Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front—James Friend (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Tár—Florian Hoffmeister
Worst omission: Avatar: The Way of Water—Russell Carpenter

Best Costume Design
Will win: Elvis (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Babylon
Worst omission: Amsterdam

Best Director
Will win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert—Everything Everywhere All at Once (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert—Everything Everywhere All at Once
Worst omission: Park Chan-wook—Decision to Leave

Best Documentary Feature
Will win: Navalny (confidence: 4/5)

Best Film Editing
Will win: Top Gun: Maverick—Eddie Hamilton (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Everything Everywhere All at Once—Paul Rogers
Worst omission: Glass Onion—Bob Ducsay

Best International Feature
Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany) (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: EO (Poland)
Worst omission: Decision to Leave (South Korea)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: The Whale (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Worst omission: Official Competition

Best Original Score
Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front—Volker Bertelmann (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: The Fabelmans—John Williams
Worst omission: The Batman—Michael Giacchino

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once—Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: The Fabelmans—Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner
Worst omission: Broker—Hirokazu Kore-eda

Best Original Song
Will win: “Naatu Naatu”—M. M. Keeravani and Chandrabose (from RRR) (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: “Naatu Naatu”—M. M. Keeravani and Chandrabose (from RRR)
Worst omission: “Apartment for Sale”—Cate Blanchett and Todd Field (from Tár)

Best Picture
Will win: Everything Everywhere All at Once (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Avatar: The Way of Water
Worst omission: Emily the Criminal

Best Production Design
Will win: Babylon (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Babylon
Worst omission: Don’t Worry Darling

Best Sound
Will win: Top Gun: Maverick (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Avatar: The Way of Water
Worst omission: Nope

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Ke Huy Quan—Everything Everywhere All at Once (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Ke Huy Quan—Everything Everywhere All at Once
Worst omission: Harry Melling—The Pale Blue Eye

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Jamie Lee Curtis—Everything Everywhere All at Once (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Kerry Condon—The Banshees of Inisherin
Worst omission: Anya Taylor-Joy—The Northman

Best Visual Effects
Will win: Avatar: The Way of Water (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Avatar: The Way of Water
Worst omission: Nope