Oscars 2023: Full List of Predictions

Over the past week, we’ve scoured the 20 different feature categories in competition at the 96th Academy Awards. Here, you can find our predictions (and preferences) for all of them, alphabetized by category. (To access the detailed piece discussing any particular category, click on the header link.)

Best Actor
Will win: Cillian Murphy—Oppenheimer (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Paul Giamatti—The Holdovers
Worst omission: Joaquin Phoenix—Beau Is Afraid

Best Actress
Will win: Lily Gladstone—Killers of the Flower Moon (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Emma Stone—Poor Things
Worst omission: Park Ji-min—Return to Seoul

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: American Fiction—Cord Jefferson (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Oppenheimer—Christopher Nolan
Worst omission: The Royal Hotel—Kitty Green and Oscar Redding

Best Animated Feature
Will win: The Boy and the Heron (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Cinematography
Will win: Oppenheimer—Hoyte van Hoytema (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Poor Things—Robbie Ryan
Worst omission: John Wick: Chapter 4—Dan Laustsen

Best Costume Design
Will win: Poor Things—Holly Waddington (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Poor Things—Holly Waddington
Worst omission: Polite Society—P.C. Williams

Best Director
Will win: Christopher Nolan—Oppenheimer (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Yorgos Lanthimos—Poor Things
Worst omission: Christopher McQuarrie—Mission: Impossible: Dead Reckoning, Part One

Best Documentary Feature
Will win: 20 Days in Mariupol (confidence: 3/5)

Best Film Editing
Will win: Oppenheimer—Jennifer Lame (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Oppenheimer—Jennifer Lame
Worst omission: The Killer—Kirk Baxter

Best International Feature
Will win: The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)
Worst omission: Joyland (Pakistan)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: Poor Things (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Poor Things
Worst omission: When Evil Lurks

Best Original Score
Will win: Oppenheimer—Ludwig Göransson (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Oppenheimer—Ludwig Göransson
Worst omission: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse—Daniel Pemberton

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Anatomy of a Fall—Justine Triet and Arthur Harari (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Past Lives—Celine Song
Worst omission: Of an Age—Goran Stolevski

Best Original Song
Will win: “What Was I Made For?”—Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell (from Barbie) (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: “I’m Just Ken”—Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt (from Barbie)
Worst omission: “Dear Alien (Who Art in Heaven)”—Wes Anderson and Richard Hawley (from Asteroid City)

Best Picture
Will win: Oppenheimer (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Oppenheimer (but really Poor Things)
Worst omission: Afire

Best Production Design
Will win: Poor Things—Shona Heath, James Price (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Barbie—Sarah Greenwood
Worst omission: Asteroid City—Adam Stockhausen

Best Sound
Will win: Oppenheimer (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: The Zone of Interest
Worst omission: Landscape with Invisible Hand

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Robert Downey Jr.—Oppenheimer (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Ryan Gosling—Barbie
Worst omission: John Magaro—Past Lives

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph—The Holdovers (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Danielle Brooks—The Color Purple
Worst omission: Julianne Moore—May December

Best Visual Effects
Will win: Godzilla Minus One (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: The Creator
Worst omission: M3gan