Oscars 2025: Full List of Predictions

Hey, were you desperately hoping for an easily digestible list of all of my predictions and preferences for the 21 feature categories at this year’s Oscars, but frustrated that you had to read a bunch of different pieces to find them? You’re in luck!

Note that I’m pegging One Battle After Another and Sinners to win five and four total awards, respectively. Both of those numbers could be either too high or too low, and the particular division between them is also up in the air. This is cool! Here’s to an unpredictable Oscars. (Categories arranged alphabetically; click on the header links for more detailed analysis.)

Best Actor
Will win: Timothée Chalamet—Marty Supreme (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Leonardo DiCaprio—One Battle After Another
Worst omission: Robert Pattinson—Mickey 17

Best Actress
Will win: Jessie Buckley—Hamnet (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: Renate Reinsve—Sentimental Value
Worst omission: Daisy Edgar-Jones—On Swift Horses

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Sinners—Ryan Coogler (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Sentimental Value—Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier
Worst omission: Twinless—James Sweeney

Best Animated Feature
Will win: KPop Demon Hunters (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: KPop Demon Hunters

Best Casting
Will win: Sinners (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Marty Supreme
Worst omission: A House of Dynamite

Best Cinematography
Will win: One Battle After Another—Michael Bauman (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Frankenstein—Dan Laustsen
Worst omission: Presence—Steven Soderbergh

Best Costume Design
Will win: Frankenstein—Kate Hawley (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Frankenstein—Kate Hawley
Worst omission: On Swift Horses—Jeriana San Juan

Best Director
Will win: Paul Thomas Anderson—One Battle After Another (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson—One Battle After Another
Worst omission: Wes Anderson—The Phoenician Scheme

Best Documentary Feature
Will win: The Perfect Neighbor (confidence: 2/5)

Best Film Editing
Will win: F1—Stephen Mirrione (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: One Battle After Another—Andy Jurgensen
Worst omission: Weapons—Joe Murphy

Best International Feature
Will win: The Secret Agent (Brazil) (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Sentimental Value (Norway)
Worst omission: Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: Frankenstein (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: The Ugly Stepsister
Worst omission: Weapons

Best Original Score
Will win: Sinners—Ludwig Göransson (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Hamnet—Max Richter
Worst omission: Tron: Ares—Nine Inch Nails

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: One Battle After Another—Paul Thomas Anderson (confidence: 5/5)
Should win: One Battle After Another—Paul Thomas Anderson
Worst omission: Wake Up Dead Man—Rian Johnson

Best Original Song
Will win: “Golden”—Ejae, Mark Sonnenblick, 24, Ido, and Teddy Park (from KPop Demon Hunters) (confidence: 4/5)
Worst omission: “Hunger and Thirst”—Daniel Blumberg (from The Testament of Ann Lee)

Best Picture
Will win: One Battle After Another (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Sinners (but really One Battle After Another)
Worst omission: On Swift Horses

Best Production Design
Will win: Frankenstein—Tamara Deverell (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Frankenstein—Tamara Deverell
Worst omission: The Phoenician Scheme—Adam Stockhausen

Best Sound
Will win: F1 (confidence: 2/5)
Should win: Sinners
Worst omission: Warfare

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Sean Penn—One Battle After Another (confidence: 3/5)
Should win: Stellan Skarsgård—Sentimental Value
Worst omission: Ralph Fiennes—28 Years Later

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Wunmi Mosaku—Sinners (confidence: 1/5)
Should win: Teyana Taylor—One Battle After Another
Worst omission: Kirsten Dunst—Roofman

Best Visual Effects
Will win: Avatar: Fire and Ash (confidence: 4/5)
Should win: Avatar: Fire and Ash
Worst omission: Predator: Badlands